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This project aims to develop downscaled climate change scenarios using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) Global Climate Models (GCMs), whose resolution is currently too coarse for their use in local decision-making. The impact of variations in freshwater availability under current and climate change conditions will be examined, as well as the influence of those climatic variations on agricultural outputs as a way to engage with stakeholders to understand their willingness to adapt. The major crop in the region is rice, with the Khariff and Baro variety cultivated during the summer and winter, respectively. A rice model will be used to depict how the crop yield is affected by changes in climate.
This project is an outcome of IUKWC’s GFES event on "Managing and monitoring agricultural water demand" which took place during Dec 10-12, 2018, in Sundarbans, India. Also participating in this project are, Professor Gautam Saha of Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya and Dr Indrani Roy.